Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.494205 3.880505 4.299689 4.789633 5.348183 5.966973 6.706949
2025-06-01 2.894336 3.400910 3.989352 4.728137 5.637494 6.728755 8.150292
2025-06-08 2.525511 3.091421 3.782408 4.697633 5.892165 7.418107 9.547171
2025-06-15 2.341785 2.965751 3.760181 4.861569 6.374091 8.416057 11.447532
2025-06-22 2.131714 2.774329 3.620593 4.838491 6.583154 9.050967 12.915517
2025-06-29 1.952016 2.600423 3.479488 4.786408 6.729609 9.595277 14.306010
2025-07-06 1.741451 2.363116 3.225613 4.541809 6.558795 9.636831 14.905371
2025-07-13 1.640113 2.269019 3.163011 4.565582 6.785620 10.301526 16.592860
2025-07-20 1.569315 2.211673 3.146403 4.652909 7.114436 11.159075 18.727856
2025-07-27 1.509826 2.165241 3.140287 4.752611 7.468823 12.094854 21.142814
2025-08-03 1.447708 2.109425 3.113983 4.814936 7.763276 12.957145 23.553914
2025-08-10 1.384788 2.047360 3.072126 4.845830 8.003267 13.745786 25.945245
2025-08-17 1.288223 1.927988 2.933102 4.705436 7.932939 13.966318 27.243237
2025-08-24 1.217269 1.844897 2.847061 4.648750 8.008864 14.475395 29.252604
2025-08-31 1.157961 1.776673 2.780372 4.619499 8.131358 15.089072 31.607110
2025-09-07 1.137897 1.771269 2.818143 4.780276 8.634500 16.543617 36.220100
2025-09-14 1.087738 1.712242 2.759584 4.757683 8.771140 17.240916 39.124177
2025-09-21 1.036909 1.649004 2.689307 4.706646 8.843507 17.805397 41.803681
2025-09-28 0.960360 1.537539 2.527129 4.466909 8.499740 17.390458 41.779664
2025-10-05 0.929249 1.503317 2.501100 4.490212 8.715991 18.294064 45.603902
2025-10-12 0.909149 1.487178 2.506563 4.575807 9.075592 19.587362 50.864266
2025-10-19 0.891748 1.474741 2.517792 4.673524 9.472361 21.030646 56.958735
2025-10-26 0.870349 1.453836 2.511668 4.734604 9.791936 22.327395 62.948872